Risky emerging markets better than Europe
                            Friday, November 11, 2011
                         
                        
                            
                            Riskier emerging market equity is still a better investment at the moment than  European equities, says Timo Loyttyniemi, managing director of Valtion  Elakerahasto (VER), the Finnish state pension scheme, when speaking to  Pension Funds Insider this week.
                            The scheme announced it will  increase its emerging market equity exposure in the coming year and is also  thinking of increasing its exposure to emerging market debt. 
"In  equities, we currently have 15% in emerging markets and when it comes to  emerging market debt we have about 10%. In the long-term, over the next year, we  will increase this," said Loyttyniemi. The fund will invest indirectly in the  main, and says its investments will be very diversified in terms of size and  region. 
"Of course, emerging markets are also risky and have a lower  credit quality than the evolved markets, but still due to the European  circumstances it makes it more attractive to invest outside of Europe."  
Loyttyniemi explained that the scheme had been reasonably stable in its  returns were it not for the -19% on their equity investments in the third  quarter (the corresponding figure for the whole of 2010 was 23.6%). 
"In  total we are looking at -5.9% for the fund during the first 9 months of this  year, so of course, the crisis is affecting us but that is mainly due to the  equities downfall."
The market value of VER's investments was €13.2bn at the end of September. 
Though VER's investment  strategy might seem like a necessary step, concerns have been raised lately that  an emerging market bubble will be next on the list of disasters to hit  institutional investors. After all, the fund is not the only one which is  currently looking to take its equity investments outside of the current crisis  area. Is this not something Loyttyniemi is concerned about?
"Yes  certainly," he says, "currently it is crowded in that market space as many  investors are putting their money there. We will probably see some changes and  have to watch closely how this will develop in the future. The popularity can  cause some tremblers but overall we still think that this is what we have to  do."
At the end of 2010, Valtion Elakerahasto had the following split for  its equity portfolio: 
Europe 35%, Nordics 30%, North America 15%, Emerging  Markets 20%.
 
First published 03.11.2011
azeevalkink@wilmington.co.uk